Cleveland Cavaliers at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

The Cleveland Cavaliers (34-6) wrap up a 3-game road trip against the Minnesota Timberwolves (22-19) Saturday at Target Center in Minneapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 1-1

The home team won and covered both meetings last season, with Minnesota winning 104-91 in last March as a 7.5-point favorite with the Under (206.5) cashing. The Timberwolves have won 3 of the past 4 head-to-head meetings in the Twin Cities, while going 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 vs. the Cavaliers in Minneapolis, too.

The Cavaliers were humbled 134-114 in Oklahoma City Thursday, not coming close to covering as 2-point underdogs as the Over (232) cashed. The Cavs are just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 games, while the Over has hit in 4 of the past 5 games, and 14-4 in the past 18 outings.

For the Timberwolves, they won 116-99 last time out Friday in New York as 3-point underdogs with the Under (216.5) hitting. Minnesota has alternated wins and losses in the past 5 outings, but it is just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 outings, as the Over is 3-1 in the span.

Cavaliers at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:24 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Timberwolves +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
• Against the spread: Cavaliers -5.5 (-115) | Timberwolves +5.5 (-105)
• Over/Under: 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Cavaliers at Timberwolves key injuries

Cavaliers

• F Evan Mobley (calf) questionable
• G Isaac Okoro (shoulder) questionable

Timberwolves

(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)

• G Donte DiVincenzo (toe) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Cavaliers at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 119, Timberwolves 110

Moneyline

The Cavaliers (-250) are too expensive at 2½ times your potential return. That’s way too much risk and not nearly enough value.

Yes, Cleveland didn’t play great basketball in the past week, but it still has the best record in the NBA.

The Timberwolves (+200) are playing on no rest after an emotional win in New York. They’re 1-2 SU/ATS in the past 3 games when playing on no rest.

PASS.

Against the spread

The CAVALIERS -5.5 (-115) are worth playing lightly, but don’t get carried away.

Cleveland is 1-3 ATS in the past 4 games, but the Cavaliers are still 6-1 ATS in the past 7 outings on the road.

The Timberwolves won in New York, but they’re still just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 outings, and 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 contests.

Over/Under

OVER 226.5 (-110) is also worth playing lightly, so go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under cashed in Minnesota’s win in New York, but the Over is 3-1 in its past 4 outings. In addition, the Under has cashed in the past 3 games when playing on no rest.

However, the Cavaliers have hit high in 4 of the past 5 games, while going 14-4 in the previous 18 outings. Cleveland has hit the Over in 7 of the past 8 road games, too.

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